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Bond Market is Flashing Recession Sign 1st time Since 2007

The spread between 3-month and 10-year Treasury notes has fallen below 10 basis points for the first time since 2007.

The three-month note yielded 2.468% around 10 am, while the benchmark 10-year was around 2.44%.

The spread, or yield curve, between the 3-month and 10-year Treasury notes just broke the longest streak ever of being above 10 basis points, or 0.1 percentage point. The two maturities were last below that level in September 2007, a run of 3,009 trading days, according to Bespoke Investment Group.

What an inverted yield curve means to the market?

Reference

CNBC, Jeff Cox, 2019-03-21, “The Bond Market is Flashing its Biggest Recession Sign Since Before the Financial Crisis

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