Year: 2021

  • Market NewsChina to Free Up 1 Trillion Yuan

    China to Free Up 1 Trillion Yuan

    2021-07-09, the People’s Bank of China cut its reserve requirement ratio (RRR)for financial instiutions from 2021-07-15 by half a percentage…

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  • Market NewsQuant is Wiring up Bond Market

    Quant is Wiring up Bond Market

    The work-from-home era is fueling a surge in electronic bond trading with the quant revolution that is likely to sweep…

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  • Market News南北资金流向将有新格局

    南北资金流向将有新格局

    截止到7月9日收盘时,年内北向资金(从香港市场流到A股市场的资金)累计净买入2,233.78亿人民币,南向资金(内地投资者通过港股通买入香港联交所股票的资金)累计净买入3,713.9亿人民币。 从下图中可以看到虽然年后上证指数跌幅较大,但年内北向资金累计净买入一直处于平缓上升的状态,其曲线的斜率基本不变。南向资金累计净买入从年初到二月上旬之前快速上涨,原因是这段时间恒生指数走势较强。二月中旬以后恒生指数陷入弱势震荡,同期的南向资金累计净买入几乎陷入停滞状态。从上半年资金流动的特点来看,北向资金喜欢抄底,南向资金偏爱追高。 2021上半年南向资金累计净买入大幅领先北向资金(多维自制) 自2014年11月17日中国大陆和香港股市互通以来,恒生指数上涨了14.1%,上证指数上涨了42.5%。上证涨幅虽然远超恒生指数,但两者的吸金能力却刚好相反。 两岸股市互通以来港股对大陆资本的吸引力非常强(多维自制) 上图是中国大陆和香港股市互通以来,“北向资金累计净买入”减去“南向资金累计净买入”的曲线图(下文简称轧差曲线)。从图中可以明显看出,轧差曲线大多数时候位于纵轴的负数部分,说明香港股市比中国大陆股市更具吸引力。究其原因,香港证券市场比沪深两市法制监管健全,投资者更专业,并且具有相当大的低估值优势,所以长久以来资本对港股的青睐要超过大陆股市。另外香港IPO制度对企业更友好,很多大陆明星企业都去香港上市,这些企业本身就自带“流量”。 Reference: 多维新闻, 2021-07-09, 《拐点已现 南北资金流向将有新格局》

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  • Market NewsForeigners Buying China Debt

    Foreigners Buying China Debt

    Global investors made their biggest ever purchases of Chinese municipal debt in June, an indication of growing confidence in a…

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  • Market News大量资金仍在准备进入美股

    大量资金仍在准备进入美股

    高盛近期提及,大量资金仍在准备进入美股。该机构分析称,家庭部门的需求是一季度股票最大的净买入来源,总计净买入1720亿美元。高盛目前已将2021年全年家庭部门净买入总额的预测从3500亿美元上调至4000亿美元,估计目前家庭部门将44%的资产配置在股票上,略低于2000年“科网泡沫”历史峰值的46%。 此外,任何通胀持续上升的迹象都将有利于股票,而非债券或现金。数据显示,创纪录的5.5万亿美元现金 正在场边观望。 Reference 第一财经, 2021-06-24, “纳指突破历史高点,美联储或是“披着鹰皮的鸽”

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  • Market NewsSpread between 5 and 30 Year Notes Tumbled

    Spread between 5 and 30 Year Notes Tumbled

    The spread between five- and 30-year notes tumbled last week to the narrowest for the year after the Fed projected…

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  • Market NewsJapanese Stocks Slump

    Japanese Stocks Slump

    The Nikkei 225 surged 82% from its pandemic-selloff low to a 30-year high in February, as investors rushed into cyclical-heavy…

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  • Market ViewWhat happened when Debt is Cheap?

    What happened when Debt is Cheap?

    There has been a record pace of credit-rating upgrades, with nearly twice as many upgrades of junk-rated companies compared with…

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  • OpinonWould Real and Rouble Continue

    Would Real and Rouble Continue

    Central bankers in the developing world are treading a fine line managing price pressures in places where the scars of…

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  • Market NewsTaper in late 2021?

    Taper in late 2021?

    Federal Reserve officials this week could project interest-rate liftoff in 2023 amid faster economic growth and inflation, but they won’t…

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